{"id":23662,"date":"2026-05-18T10:21:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T13:21:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economicas.uba.ar\/iiep\/?post_type=tribe_events&#038;p=23662"},"modified":"2026-05-20T10:36:46","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T13:36:46","slug":"lo-fragil-de-la-abundancia-por-que-cada-bonanza-argentina-termina-en-crisis","status":"publish","type":"tribe_events","link":"https:\/\/economicas.uba.ar\/iiep\/eventos\/lo-fragil-de-la-abundancia-por-que-cada-bonanza-argentina-termina-en-crisis\/","title":{"rendered":"Lo fr\u00e1gil de la abundancia. \u00bfPor qu\u00e9 cada bonanza argentina termina en crisis?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Seminario de investigaci\u00f3n<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lo fr\u00e1gil de la abundancia. \u00bfPor qu\u00e9 cada bonanza argentina termina en crisis?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Expositor | <strong>Ezequiel Monteforte<\/strong> IIEP (UBA-CONICET)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Resumen: Este trabajo propone una respuesta: la restricci\u00f3n interna, mecanismo sim\u00e9trico e inverso a la restricci\u00f3n externa de Thirlwall. Mientras la externa frena el crecimiento por falta de divisas, la interna acumula fragilidad mientras las divisas sobran. Los shocks de precios externos prolongados aprecian el tipo de cambio real, expanden simult\u00e1neamente salarios, ganancias e ingresos fiscales, y reorganizan los precios relativos en torno a un d\u00f3lar barato. Cuando el ciclo se revierte, la correcci\u00f3n impone una compresi\u00f3n sincr\u00f3nica de esas tres variables. La evidencia argentina entre 1910 y 2024 muestra que el patr\u00f3n se repite con regularidad secular.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lugar | FCE-UBA | Aula Olivera<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Seminario de investigaci\u00f3n Lo fr\u00e1gil de la abundancia. \u00bfPor qu\u00e9 cada bonanza argentina termina en crisis? Expositor | Ezequiel Monteforte IIEP (UBA-CONICET) Resumen: Este trabajo propone una respuesta: la restricci\u00f3n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_tribe_events_status":"","_tribe_events_status_reason":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"tribe_events_cat":[224,74],"class_list":["post-23662","tribe_events","type-tribe_events","status-publish","hentry","tribe_events_cat-destacada","tribe_events_cat-seminario-iiep","cat_destacada","cat_seminario-iiep"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Lo fr\u00e1gil de la abundancia. \u00bfPor qu\u00e9 cada bonanza argentina termina en crisis? - IIEP UBA-CONICET<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/economicas.uba.ar\/iiep\/eventos\/lo-fragil-de-la-abundancia-por-que-cada-bonanza-argentina-termina-en-crisis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Lo fr\u00e1gil de la abundancia. \u00bfPor qu\u00e9 cada bonanza argentina termina en crisis? - IIEP UBA-CONICET\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Seminario de investigaci\u00f3n Lo fr\u00e1gil de la abundancia. \u00bfPor qu\u00e9 cada bonanza argentina termina en crisis? 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